Astana

Astana, Kazakhstan, scores 52 on the TRAIL Index of tourism resilience, #227 of 310 destinations. 25 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 78% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.

Scores by each organisation's criteria

• TRAIL Index: 52
• OECD: 57
• UN Tourism: 61
• UNDRR: 47

Strongest

• Domestic share of nights: 76.3 % of nights by residents of the same country (The Astana Times / Astana City Akimat (Investment and Entrepreneurship Development Department), 2025). At or above 45: grade 4/4.
• Unemployment rate: 4.2 % of the labour force (Bureau of National Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Astana City Regional Statistics, Q2 2026). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
• Extreme heat days: 1.8 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4.

Weakest

• Rent growth: 17 % change in rents over the last 12 months (country figure) (Bureau of National Statistics via Capital Realty, August 2026). Above 15: grade 0/4.
• Hotel bed or room occupancy: 35.6 % average annual occupancy (Bureau of National Statistics of the Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Table 5 via About Kazakhstan compilation, January–June 2026). Below 45: grade 0/4.
• Average length of stay: 1.5 nights per visitor (Cushman & Wakefield Kazakhstan, Hospitality Market Report, 2024). Below 1.8: grade 0/4.

Kazakhstan in the World Economic Forum Travel & Tourism Development Index

Kazakhstan is #56 of 110 countries (4.09 of 7) in the WEF Travel & Tourism Development Index 2026, which scores countries, not cities. Cities in countries with that WEF score average 59 on the TRAIL Index; Astana is 7 below that.

Every measure, by theme

Demand and seasonality: 35

• Nights in the three busiest months: 37.5 % of annual nights (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: UN Tourism by United Nations World Tourism Organization), 2021, 2022 moving average). Between 35 and 40: grade 2/4. Source
• Domestic share of nights: 76.3 % of nights by residents of the same country (The Astana Times / Astana City Akimat (Investment and Entrepreneurship Development Department), 2025). At or above 45: grade 4/4. Source
• Largest foreign market: 39 % of international arrivals or nights (Astana Tourism Development Center / Kazinform, 2025). Between 30 and 40: grade 1/4. Source
• Recovery against 2019: not measured yet
• Average length of stay: 1.5 nights per visitor (Cushman & Wakefield Kazakhstan, Hospitality Market Report, 2024). Below 1.8: grade 0/4. Source
• Hotel bed or room occupancy: 35.6 % average annual occupancy (Bureau of National Statistics of the Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Table 5 via About Kazakhstan compilation, January–June 2026). Below 45: grade 0/4. Source

Economy and jobs: 88

• Jobs in tourism industries: 1.5 % of employment in accommodation and food services (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: Travel & Tourism Economic Impact Research by World Travel & Tourism Council; Travel & Tourism by World Travel & Tourism Council), 2026). At or below 8: grade 4/4. Source
• Unemployment rate: 4.2 % of the labour force (Bureau of National Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Astana City Regional Statistics, Q2 2026). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Income per head: 44,293 GDP per capita, USD PPP (country figure) (World Bank WDI, 2025). Between 30,000 and 45,000: grade 2/4. Source
• Economic diversity: 93.7 % of employment outside accommodation, food, retail and transport (Invest in Astana / Bureau of National Statistics (stat.gov.kz), 'Employed population by main economic activities of Astana', 2023). At or above 80: grade 4/4. Source

Climate and hazards: 65

• Extreme heat days: 1.8 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Tropical nights: 3.6 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 10: grade 4/4. Source
• Flood hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
• Wildfire and storm hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
• Country disaster risk: 2.6 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Between 2 and 3.5: grade 3/4. Source
• Greenhouse gas emissions per resident: not measured yet

Water and environment: 81

• Water scarcity: low (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 3/4. Source
• Wastewater safely treated: 100 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (UNECE, Smart Sustainable Cities Profile Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan, 2021). At or above 95: grade 4/4. Source
• Municipal waste per resident: 141.3 kg per resident per year (Bureau of National Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan via Finprom, 2025). At or below 350: grade 4/4. Source
• Green space: 20 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE), Smart Sustainable Cities Profile: Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan, 2021). Between 20 and 30: grade 2/4. Source
• Energy use per resident: not measured yet

Community and housing: 0

• Tourism intensity: not measured yet
• Cruise pressure: not measured yet
• Rent growth: 17 % change in rents over the last 12 months (country figure) (Bureau of National Statistics via Capital Realty, August 2026). Above 15: grade 0/4. Source
• Short-let density: not measured yet
• Resident support for tourism: not measured yet

Access and continuity: 50

• Access redundancy: 3 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (Ministry of Transport of the Republic of Kazakhstan; Wikipedia - Roads in Kazakhstan, 2024–2026). Between 3 and 4: grade 3/4. Source
• Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
• Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Largest airline group share: not measured yet
• Air route concentration: not measured yet
• Early warning and emergency plan: A national system only; no city plan found (Ministry for Emergency Situations of the Republic of Kazakhstan / UNDRR, 2024–2026). Grade 1/4. Source
• Tourism crisis and recovery plan: Crisis communication only, ad hoc (The Astana Times, 'Kazakhstan Builds Resilient System to Protect Citizens Abroad', 2024–2026). Grade 1/4. Source
• Government effectiveness: 49.5 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Between 40 and 60: grade 2/4. Source
• Travel advisory: 1 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). At or below 1: grade 4/4. Source
• Dedicated tourism funding: A promotion budget that depends each year on the general budget (Qazinform & Centre for Astana Development, 2024–2026). Grade 1/4. Source

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