Kabul
Kabul, Afghanistan, scores 40 on the TRAIL Index of tourism resilience, #273 of 310 destinations. 19 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 61% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.
Scores by each organisation's criteria
- TRAIL Index: 40
- OECD: 41
- UN Tourism: 45
- UNDRR: 27
Travel advisory at the highest level (do not travel): the TRAIL score is capped at 40. Without the cap: 44.
Strongest
- Municipal waste per resident: 164.3 kg per resident per year (Journal of Natural Science Review, 2025). At or below 350: grade 4/4.
- Rent growth: 2.1 % change in rents over the last 12 months (World Bank, Afghanistan Economic Monitor, August 2024–August 2025). At or below 3: grade 4/4.
- Domestic share of nights: 99.8 % of nights by residents of the same country (country figure) (Pajhwok Afghan News / Ministry of Information and Culture (MoIC), Solar Year 1404 (2025–2026)). At or above 45: grade 4/4.
Weakest
- Travel advisory: 4 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Above 3: grade 0/4.
- Government effectiveness: 0.9 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Below 20: grade 0/4.
- Country disaster risk: 7.8 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Above 6.5: grade 0/4.
Every measure, by theme
Demand and seasonality: 100
- Nights in the three busiest months: not measured yet
- Domestic share of nights: 99.8 % of nights by residents of the same country (country figure) (Pajhwok Afghan News / Ministry of Information and Culture (MoIC), Solar Year 1404 (2025–2026)). At or above 45: grade 4/4. Source
- Largest foreign market: not measured yet
- Recovery against 2019: not measured yet
- Average length of stay: not measured yet
- Hotel bed or room occupancy: not measured yet
Economy and jobs: 13
- Jobs in tourism industries: not measured yet
- Unemployment rate: 13.4 % of the labour force (country figure) (World Bank / International Labour Organization (ILOEST), 2025). Between 12 and 18: grade 1/4. Source
- Income per head: 1,964 GDP per capita, USD PPP (country figure) (World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2024). Below 15,000: grade 0/4. Source
- Economic diversity: not measured yet
Climate and hazards: 45
- Extreme heat days: 8.2 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). Between 5 and 15: grade 3/4. Source
- Tropical nights: 11.2 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). Between 10 and 30: grade 3/4. Source
- Flood hazard: medium (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 2/4. Source
- Wildfire and storm hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
- Country disaster risk: 7.8 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Above 6.5: grade 0/4. Source
- Greenhouse gas emissions per resident: not measured yet
Water and environment: 44
- Water scarcity: medium (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 2/4. Source
- Wastewater safely treated: 1 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (Frontiers in Environmental Science / Sustainable Sanitation Alliance (SFD Promotion Initiative), 2016). Below 50: grade 0/4. Source
- Municipal waste per resident: 164.3 kg per resident per year (Journal of Natural Science Review, 2025). At or below 350: grade 4/4. Source
- Green space: 12.6 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (MDPI Geomatics, 'Land Use and Land Cover Changes in Kabul, Afghanistan Focusing on the Drivers Impacting Urban Dynamics during Five Decades 1973–2020', 2013–2020). Between 10 and 20: grade 1/4. Source
- Energy use per resident: not measured yet
Community and housing: 100
- Tourism intensity: not measured yet
- Cruise pressure: not measured yet
- Rent growth: 2.1 % change in rents over the last 12 months (World Bank, Afghanistan Economic Monitor, August 2024–August 2025). At or below 3: grade 4/4. Source
- Short-let density: not measured yet
- Resident support for tourism: not measured yet
Access and continuity: 13
- Access redundancy: 1 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (Ministry of Transport and Civil Aviation / Kabul International Airport, 2025–2026). Between 1 and 2: grade 1/4. Source
- Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
- Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
- Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
- Largest airline group share: not measured yet
- Air route concentration: not measured yet
- Early warning and emergency plan: A national system only; no city plan found (Afghanistan National Disaster Management Authority (ANDMA) / UNEP / WMO, 2024–2026). Grade 1/4. Source
- Tourism crisis and recovery plan: No tourism crisis or recovery plan found (Ministry of Information and Culture (MoIC) / Afghan Tour, 2024–2026). Grade 0/4. Source
- Government effectiveness: 0.9 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Below 20: grade 0/4. Source
- Travel advisory: 4 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Above 3: grade 0/4. Source
- Dedicated tourism funding: A promotion budget that depends each year on the general budget (Ministry of Information and Culture & Ministry of Finance, Afghanistan, 2024–2026). Grade 1/4. Source
Compare Kabul
The TRAIL Index ranking · City vs city · How the index works · TRAIL Studio · Put your city in the pilot