Kyiv

Kyiv, Ukraine, scores 40 on the TRAIL Index of tourism resilience, #273 of 310 destinations. 23 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 76% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.

Scores by each organisation's criteria

• TRAIL Index: 40
• OECD: 51
• UN Tourism: 49
• UNDRR: 49

Travel advisory at the highest level (do not travel): the TRAIL score is capped at 40. Without the cap: 47.

Strongest

• Extreme heat days: 0.2 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
• Tourism intensity: 0.2 visitor nights per resident per year (State Agency for Tourism Development of Ukraine (DART) via Visit Ukraine, Q1 2026). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
• Short-let density: 0.3 short-term rental listings per 100 dwellings (AirDNA & Main Department of Statistics in Kyiv, 2026). At or below 0.5: grade 4/4.

Weakest

• Travel advisory: 4 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Above 3: grade 0/4.
• Largest foreign market: 44.4 % of international arrivals or nights (country figure) (State Border Guard Service of Ukraine via Visit Ukraine, 'How many foreigners visited Ukraine in 2024 and from which countries did they come most often?', 2024). Above 40: grade 0/4.
• Rent growth: 30 % change in rents over the last 12 months (UTG (Ukrainian Trade Guild), 2024). Above 15: grade 0/4.

Every measure, by theme

Demand and seasonality: 31

• Nights in the three busiest months: not measured yet
• Domestic share of nights: 70.6 % of nights by residents of the same country (Kyiv City State Administration / Ukrinform, Jan–Sep 2021). At or above 45: grade 4/4. Source
• Largest foreign market: 44.4 % of international arrivals or nights (country figure) (State Border Guard Service of Ukraine via Visit Ukraine, 'How many foreigners visited Ukraine in 2024 and from which countries did they come most often?', 2024). Above 40: grade 0/4. Source
• Recovery against 2019: not measured yet
• Average length of stay: 2 nights per visitor (IDEAS/RePEc / ResearchGate, 'Implementation of tourism potential in the context of sustainable development of the regions and the national economy of Ukraine', 2024). Between 1.8 and 2.2: grade 1/4. Source
• Hotel bed or room occupancy: 38 % average annual occupancy (Interfax Ukraine / Hotel Matrix, Jan–Jun 2024). Below 45: grade 0/4. Source

Economy and jobs: 42

• Jobs in tourism industries: not measured yet
• Unemployment rate: 9.9 % of the labour force (country figure) (State Statistics Service of Ukraine (Ukrstat), Main Indicators, 2021). Between 8 and 12: grade 2/4. Source
• Income per head: 18,905 GDP per capita, USD PPP (country figure) (World Bank WDI, 2025). Between 15,000 and 30,000: grade 1/4. Source
• Economic diversity: 67.4 % of employment outside accommodation, food, retail and transport (country figure) (State Statistics Service of Ukraine (Ukrstat) via Economics. Ecology. Socium, 2020). Between 64 and 72: grade 2/4. Source

Climate and hazards: 67

• Extreme heat days: 0.2 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Tropical nights: 11.2 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). Between 10 and 30: grade 3/4. Source
• Flood hazard: not measured yet
• Wildfire and storm hazard: not measured yet
• Country disaster risk: 5.7 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Between 5 and 6.5: grade 1/4. Source
• Greenhouse gas emissions per resident: not measured yet

Water and environment: 50

• Water scarcity: not measured yet
• Wastewater safely treated: 52.4 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (country figure) (United Nations Global SDG Database / WHO & UN-Habitat, SDG 6.3.1, 2024). Between 50 and 70: grade 1/4. Source
• Municipal waste per resident: 693.5 kg per resident per year (International Renaissance Foundation, 'What do we need to reform the waste management system successfully?', 2024). Between 550 and 700: grade 1/4. Source
• Green space: 42 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (Husqvarna Urban Green Space Index (HUGSI), 2023). At or above 40: grade 4/4. Source
• Energy use per resident: not measured yet

Community and housing: 69

• Tourism intensity: 0.2 visitor nights per resident per year (State Agency for Tourism Development of Ukraine (DART) via Visit Ukraine, Q1 2026). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Cruise pressure: not measured yet
• Rent growth: 30 % change in rents over the last 12 months (UTG (Ukrainian Trade Guild), 2024). Above 15: grade 0/4. Source
• Short-let density: 0.3 short-term rental listings per 100 dwellings (AirDNA & Main Department of Statistics in Kyiv, 2026). At or below 0.5: grade 4/4. Source
• Resident support for tourism: 66 % of residents who say tourism benefits them or the city (country figure) (State Agency for Tourism Development of Ukraine (SATD) & BRAND UKRAINE / Gradus Research, 'Туризм під час війни: дані, інсайти', 2026). Between 60 and 70: grade 3/4. Source

Access and continuity: 38

• Access redundancy: 2 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (European Commission, Directorate-General for Mobility and Transport; State Agency of Restoration and Infrastructure Development of Ukraine, 2025–2026). Between 2 and 3: grade 2/4. Source
• Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
• Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Largest airline group share: not measured yet
• Air route concentration: not measured yet
• Early warning and emergency plan: An updated city plan with public early warning for heat, flood or fire (Kyiv City State Administration / Google Play Store, 2025–2026). Grade 3/4. Source
• Tourism crisis and recovery plan: Crisis communication only, ad hoc (State Agency for Tourism Development of Ukraine (SATD), 2024–2026). Grade 1/4. Source
• Government effectiveness: 26.9 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Between 20 and 40: grade 1/4. Source
• Travel advisory: 4 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Above 3: grade 0/4. Source
• Dedicated tourism funding: A dedicated source such as a tourist tax or levy (State Tax Service of Ukraine, 'Tourist tax in Ukraine increased by 23%: local budgets received almost 270 million UAH', Jan–Aug 2026). Grade 2/4. Source

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