Minsk

Minsk, Belarus, scores 40 on the TRAIL Index of tourism resilience, #273 of 310 destinations. 21 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 72% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.

Scores by each organisation's criteria

• TRAIL Index: 40
• OECD: 62
• UN Tourism: 71
• UNDRR: 50

Travel advisory at the highest level (do not travel): the TRAIL score is capped at 40. Without the cap: 65.

Strongest

• Unemployment rate: 3.3 % of the labour force (Main Statistical Administration of the City of Minsk (Belstat), Infographics 'Employment in the City of Minsk', 2024). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
• Extreme heat days: 0 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
• Tropical nights: 2.4 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 10: grade 4/4.

Weakest

• Travel advisory: 4 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Above 3: grade 0/4.
• Government effectiveness: 18.4 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Below 20: grade 0/4.
• Tourism crisis and recovery plan: No tourism crisis or recovery plan found (National Tourism Agency of Belarus / Minsk City Executive Committee, 2026). Grade 0/4.

Every measure, by theme

Demand and seasonality: 58

• Nights in the three busiest months: not measured yet
• Domestic share of nights: 26.7 % of nights by residents of the same country (BelTA / National Tourism Agency, quoting Director of Minsk Information and Tourism Center Aleksei Rusakevich, 2024). Between 25 and 35: grade 2/4. Source
• Largest foreign market: not measured yet
• Recovery against 2019: not measured yet
• Average length of stay: 4 nights per visitor (country figure) (National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus (Belstat) / BelTA, 2025). At or above 3.5: grade 4/4. Source
• Hotel bed or room occupancy: 52.7 % average annual occupancy (National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus (Belstat), Interactive Information and Analytical System, 2025). Between 45 and 55: grade 1/4. Source

Economy and jobs: 75

• Jobs in tourism industries: not measured yet
• Unemployment rate: 3.3 % of the labour force (Main Statistical Administration of the City of Minsk (Belstat), Infographics 'Employment in the City of Minsk', 2024). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Income per head: 34,716 GDP per capita, USD PPP (country figure) (World Bank WDI, 2025). Between 30,000 and 45,000: grade 2/4. Source
• Economic diversity: not measured yet

Climate and hazards: 75

• Extreme heat days: 0 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Tropical nights: 2.4 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 10: grade 4/4. Source
• Flood hazard: low (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 3/4. Source
• Wildfire and storm hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
• Country disaster risk: 2.4 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Between 2 and 3.5: grade 3/4. Source
• Greenhouse gas emissions per resident: not measured yet

Water and environment: 88

• Water scarcity: low (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 3/4. Source
• Wastewater safely treated: 99.4 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (country figure) (UN Statistics Division / WHO / SDG Country Profile Belarus, 2024). At or above 95: grade 4/4. Source
• Municipal waste per resident: 436.9 kg per resident per year (country figure) (OECD / CEIC Data, 2023). Between 350 and 450: grade 3/4. Source
• Green space: 42.1 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (National Sustainable Development Coordination / Ministry of Natural Resources and Environmental Protection of Belarus, 2024). At or above 40: grade 4/4. Source
• Energy use per resident: not measured yet

Community and housing: 75

• Tourism intensity: not measured yet
• Cruise pressure: not measured yet
• Rent growth: 5 % change in rents over the last 12 months (Investropa, Updated Rents in Belarus / Minsk Real Estate Market Review, 2025). Between 3 and 6: grade 3/4. Source
• Short-let density: not measured yet
• Resident support for tourism: not measured yet

Access and continuity: 21

• Access redundancy: 3 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (Minsk National Airport & Belarusian Railways, 2026). Between 3 and 4: grade 3/4. Source
• Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
• Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Largest airline group share: not measured yet
• Air route concentration: not measured yet
• Early warning and emergency plan: A national system only; no city plan found (Ministry for Emergency Situations of the Republic of Belarus (MES), 2026). Grade 1/4. Source
• Tourism crisis and recovery plan: No tourism crisis or recovery plan found (National Tourism Agency of Belarus / Minsk City Executive Committee, 2026). Grade 0/4. Source
• Government effectiveness: 18.4 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Below 20: grade 0/4. Source
• Travel advisory: 4 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Above 3: grade 0/4. Source
• Dedicated tourism funding: A promotion budget that depends each year on the general budget (Official Internet Portal of the President of the Republic of Belarus / Tax Code of the Republic of Belarus, 2026). Grade 1/4. Source

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