Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk, Russia, scores 40 on the TRAIL Index of tourism resilience, #273 of 310 destinations. 21 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 73% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.
Scores by each organisation's criteria
- TRAIL Index: 40
- OECD: 64
- UN Tourism: 65
- UNDRR: 54
Travel advisory at the highest level (do not travel): the TRAIL score is capped at 40. Without the cap: 64.
Strongest
- Extreme heat days: 0 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
- Tropical nights: 3.8 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 10: grade 4/4.
- Domestic share of nights: 96.7 % of nights by residents of the same country (region figure) (Novosibirskstat (Territorial Body of the Federal State Statistics Service in Novosibirsk Oblast), 'On the activities of collective accommodation establishments in 2024', 2024). At or above 45: grade 4/4.
Weakest
- Travel advisory: 4 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Above 3: grade 0/4.
- Largest foreign market: 81 % of international arrivals or nights (Center for Market Economics (quoting UFMS / Migration Service data for Novosibirsk Oblast), 'Market Analysis', 2022). Above 40: grade 0/4.
- Tourism crisis and recovery plan: No tourism crisis or recovery plan found (City Hall of Novosibirsk (Мэрия города Новосибирска), 2025–2026). Grade 0/4.
Every measure, by theme
Demand and seasonality: 65
- Nights in the three busiest months: not measured yet
- Domestic share of nights: 96.7 % of nights by residents of the same country (region figure) (Novosibirskstat (Territorial Body of the Federal State Statistics Service in Novosibirsk Oblast), 'On the activities of collective accommodation establishments in 2024', 2024). At or above 45: grade 4/4. Source
- Largest foreign market: 81 % of international arrivals or nights (Center for Market Economics (quoting UFMS / Migration Service data for Novosibirsk Oblast), 'Market Analysis', 2022). Above 40: grade 0/4. Source
- Recovery against 2019: 121 % of 2019 visitor nights reached in the latest full year (region figure) (Novosibirskstat (Territorial Body of the Federal State Statistics Service in Novosibirsk Oblast), Коллективные средства размещения в 2024 году & Пресс-релиз ко Всемирному дню туризма, 2025). At or above 110: grade 4/4. Source
- Average length of stay: 3 nights per visitor (region figure) (Novosibirskstat (Territorial Body of the Federal State Statistics Service in Novosibirsk Oblast), 27 СЕНТЯБРЯ – ВСЕМИРНЫЙ ДЕНЬ ТУРИЗМА, 2025). Between 2.8 and 3.5: grade 3/4. Source
- Hotel bed or room occupancy: 62 % average annual occupancy (IDEM Consulting, Рынок гостиничной недвижимости: Новосибирск, 2025). Between 55 and 65: grade 2/4. Source
Economy and jobs: 88
- Jobs in tourism industries: not measured yet
- Unemployment rate: 2.2 % of the labour force (region figure) (Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) via RIA Novosti / Novosibirskstat, Q2 2026). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
- Income per head: 49,568 GDP per capita, USD PPP (country figure) (World Bank WDI, 2025). Between 45,000 and 60,000: grade 3/4. Source
- Economic diversity: not measured yet
Climate and hazards: 83
- Extreme heat days: 0 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
- Tropical nights: 3.8 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 10: grade 4/4. Source
- Flood hazard: not measured yet
- Wildfire and storm hazard: not measured yet
- Country disaster risk: 3.8 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Between 3.5 and 5: grade 2/4. Source
- Greenhouse gas emissions per resident: not measured yet
Water and environment: 58
- Water scarcity: not measured yet
- Wastewater safely treated: 65.7 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (region figure) (Ministry of Natural Resources and Ecology of Novosibirsk Oblast, State Report 'On the State and Protection of the Environment in Novosibirsk Oblast in 2023', 2023). Between 50 and 70: grade 1/4. Source
- Municipal waste per resident: 308.8 kg per resident per year (region figure) (FinExpertiza / Rosprirodnadzor via Kontinent Sibir, 2023). At or below 350: grade 4/4. Source
- Green space: 29.3 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (City Administration of Novosibirsk, Municipal Program 'Green Novosibirsk', 2020). Between 20 and 30: grade 2/4. Source
- Energy use per resident: not measured yet
Community and housing: 63
- Tourism intensity: 1.6 visitor nights per resident per year (region figure) (Novosibirskstat (Territorial Body of the Federal State Statistics Service for Novosibirsk Oblast) via Om1 / nsknews, 2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
- Cruise pressure: not measured yet
- Rent growth: 14.1 % change in rents over the last 12 months (RBC Real Estate / Etazhi Real Estate Agency, Q3 2024–Q3 2025). Between 10 and 15: grade 1/4. Source
- Short-let density: not measured yet
- Resident support for tourism: not measured yet
Access and continuity: 38
- Access redundancy: 3 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (Tolmachevo Airport & Russian Railways (RZD), 2025–2026). Between 3 and 4: grade 3/4. Source
- Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
- Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
- Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
- Largest airline group share: not measured yet
- Air route concentration: not measured yet
- Early warning and emergency plan: An updated city plan with public early warning for heat, flood or fire (Main Directorate of EMERCOM (MChS) of Russia for Novosibirsk Oblast, 2025–2026). Grade 3/4. Source
- Tourism crisis and recovery plan: No tourism crisis or recovery plan found (City Hall of Novosibirsk (Мэрия города Новосибирска), 2025–2026). Grade 0/4. Source
- Government effectiveness: 29.7 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Between 20 and 40: grade 1/4. Source
- Travel advisory: 4 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Above 3: grade 0/4. Source
- Dedicated tourism funding: A dedicated source such as a tourist tax or levy (Interfax Russia / Novosibirsk City Hall, 2025). Grade 2/4. Source
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