Tehran
Tehran, Iran, scores 33 on the TRAIL Index of tourism resilience, #296 of 310 destinations. 21 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 67% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.
Scores by each organisation's criteria
- TRAIL Index: 33
- OECD: 33
- UN Tourism: 42
- UNDRR: 40
Strongest
- Municipal waste per resident: 277.4 kg per resident per year (Universal Wiser Publisher, Environmental Protection Research: Municipal Solid Waste Status in Iran: From Generation to Disposal, 2024). At or below 350: grade 4/4.
- Unemployment rate: 4.5 % of the labour force (region figure) (Statistical Center of Iran (reported via Mehr News Agency), Q3 2024). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
- Access redundancy: 3 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (Orienttrips & Railway Research / Ministry of Roads and Urban Development, 2025–2026). Between 3 and 4: grade 3/4.
Weakest
- Travel advisory: 4 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Above 3: grade 0/4.
- Government effectiveness: 15.6 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Below 20: grade 0/4.
- Hotel bed or room occupancy: 40 % average annual occupancy (country figure) (Tehran Times / Association of Iranian Hoteliers, 2024). Below 45: grade 0/4.
Every measure, by theme
Demand and seasonality: 0
- Nights in the three busiest months: not measured yet
- Domestic share of nights: not measured yet
- Largest foreign market: 70.5 % of international arrivals or nights (country figure) (Hormuz Group / Ministry of Cultural Heritage, Tourism and Handicrafts, Q1 2026 (first quarter of the Iranian ca). Above 40: grade 0/4. Source
- Recovery against 2019: 47.3 % of 2019 visitor nights reached in the latest full year (country figure) (Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran, 2024). Below 80: grade 0/4. Source
- Average length of stay: not measured yet
- Hotel bed or room occupancy: 40 % average annual occupancy (country figure) (Tehran Times / Association of Iranian Hoteliers, 2024). Below 45: grade 0/4. Source
Economy and jobs: 63
- Jobs in tourism industries: not measured yet
- Unemployment rate: 4.5 % of the labour force (region figure) (Statistical Center of Iran (reported via Mehr News Agency), Q3 2024). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
- Income per head: 19,699 GDP per capita, USD PPP (country figure) (World Bank WDI, 2025). Between 15,000 and 30,000: grade 1/4. Source
- Economic diversity: not measured yet
Climate and hazards: 25
- Extreme heat days: 89.8 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). Above 60: grade 0/4. Source
- Tropical nights: 118.6 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). Above 100: grade 0/4. Source
- Flood hazard: low (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 3/4. Source
- Wildfire and storm hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
- Country disaster risk: 5.8 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Between 5 and 6.5: grade 1/4. Source
- Greenhouse gas emissions per resident: not measured yet
Water and environment: 50
- Water scarcity: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
- Wastewater safely treated: 52.4 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (country figure) (UN Statistics Division / WHO / UN-Habitat SDG Country Profile (Iran), 2024). Between 50 and 70: grade 1/4. Source
- Municipal waste per resident: 277.4 kg per resident per year (Universal Wiser Publisher, Environmental Protection Research: Municipal Solid Waste Status in Iran: From Generation to Disposal, 2024). At or below 350: grade 4/4. Source
- Green space: 22.8 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (CyberLeninka, Analysis Situation of Urban Green Space Framework in Tehran, 2022). Between 20 and 30: grade 2/4. Source
- Energy use per resident: not measured yet
Community and housing: 0
- Tourism intensity: not measured yet
- Cruise pressure: not measured yet
- Rent growth: 47 % change in rents over the last 12 months (Central Bank of Iran (reported via Iran Focus), June 2023–June 2024). Above 15: grade 0/4. Source
- Short-let density: not measured yet
- Resident support for tourism: not measured yet
Access and continuity: 33
- Access redundancy: 3 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (Orienttrips & Railway Research / Ministry of Roads and Urban Development, 2025–2026). Between 3 and 4: grade 3/4. Source
- Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
- Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
- Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
- Largest airline group share: not measured yet
- Air route concentration: not measured yet
- Early warning and emergency plan: An updated city plan with public early warning for heat, flood or fire (WANA News Agency, 2025). Grade 3/4. Source
- Tourism crisis and recovery plan: Crisis communication only, ad hoc (ISNA / WANA News Agency, 2025–2026). Grade 1/4. Source
- Government effectiveness: 15.6 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Below 20: grade 0/4. Source
- Travel advisory: 4 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). Above 3: grade 0/4. Source
- Dedicated tourism funding: A promotion budget that depends each year on the general budget (Tehran Times / Planning and Budget Organization (PBO), 2025–2026). Grade 1/4. Source
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