Nagoya vs Shenzhen

Nagoya and Shenzhen are level on the TRAIL Index at 72. Nagoya grades better on 10 measures, Shenzhen on 6; the same 37 measures from public sources for both.

Scores by each organisation's criteria

• TRAIL Index: Nagoya 72, Shenzhen 72
• OECD: Nagoya 69, Shenzhen 64
• UN Tourism: Nagoya 76, Shenzhen 73
• UNDRR: Nagoya 67, Shenzhen 61

Theme by theme

• Demand and seasonality: Nagoya 71, Shenzhen 55
• Economy and jobs: Nagoya 69, Shenzhen 92
• Climate and hazards: Nagoya 67, Shenzhen 45
• Water and environment: Nagoya 83, Shenzhen 69
• Community and housing: Nagoya 75, Shenzhen 100
• Access and continuity: Nagoya 71, Shenzhen 63

Where Nagoya is stronger

• Nights in the three busiest months: 27.3 % of annual nights (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: UN Tourism by United Nations World Tourism Organization), 2024, 2025 moving average). At or below 30: grade 4/4.
• Largest foreign market: 28.5 % of international arrivals or nights (City of Nagoya (Tourism, Culture and Exchange Bureau), cited via Kentsu Shimbun report on '名古屋市観光客・宿泊客動向調査（2024年）', 2024). Between 20 and 30: grade 2/4.
• Hotel bed or room occupancy: 66.5 % average annual occupancy (City of Nagoya (Tourism, Culture & Exchange Bureau), Survey on Visitors and Hotel Guests in Nagoya City 2024, 2024). Between 65 and 75: grade 3/4.
• Tropical nights: 98.8 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). Between 60 and 100: grade 1/4.
• Country disaster risk: 2 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). At or below 2: grade 4/4.
• Wastewater safely treated: 99.4 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (Nagoya City Waterworks and Sewerage Bureau (名古屋市上下水道局), '下水道の整備状況', FY2024). At or above 95: grade 4/4.
• Municipal waste per resident: 296.8 kg per resident per year (region figure) (愛知県 (Aichi Prefecture), 令和6年度一般廃棄物処理事業実態調査の結果について, FY2024). At or below 350: grade 4/4.
• Early warning and emergency plan: An updated, tested plan that names visitors and tourism operators, with warnings in several languages (Nagoya International Center (City of Nagoya), 2024–2026). Grade 4/4.
• Government effectiveness: 99.5 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). At or above 80: grade 4/4.
• Travel advisory: 1 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). At or below 1: grade 4/4.

Where Shenzhen is stronger

• Jobs in tourism industries: 5.4 % of employment in accommodation and food services (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: Travel & Tourism Economic Impact Research by World Travel & Tourism Council; Travel & Tourism by World Travel & Tourism Council), 2026). At or below 8: grade 4/4.
• Extreme heat days: 2.2 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
• Green space: 45.7 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of Urban Management and Comprehensive Law Enforcement, 2024 Statistical Analysis Report on Main Indicators, 2024). At or above 40: grade 4/4.
• Tourism intensity: 4.6 visitor nights per resident per year (Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of Statistics, 深圳市2024年国民经济和社会发展统计公报, 2024). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
• Rent growth: 3 % change in rents over the last 12 months (Securities Times / Leyoujia Research Institute, 2024). At or below 3: grade 4/4.
• Tourism crisis and recovery plan: Crisis communication only, ad hoc (Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of Culture, Radio, Television, Tourism and Sports, 2024). Grade 1/4.

Country context (World Economic Forum)

• Japan: #1 of 110 in the WEF Travel & Tourism Development Index 2026
• China: #8 of 110 in the WEF Travel & Tourism Development Index 2026

Nagoya in full · Shenzhen in full

The TRAIL Index ranking · City vs city · How the index works · TRAIL Studio · Put your city in the pilot