Zagreb
Zagreb, Croatia, scores 58 on the TRAIL Index of tourism resilience, #171 of 310 destinations. 26 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 82% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.
Scores by each organisation's criteria
- TRAIL Index: 58
- OECD: 57
- UN Tourism: 62
- UNDRR: 56
Strongest
- Largest foreign market: 8.1 % of international arrivals or nights (Turistička zajednica grada Zagreba (TZGZ) / eVisitor, 2025). At or below 15: grade 4/4.
- Unemployment rate: 3.7 % of the labour force (Državni zavod za statistiku (Croatian Bureau of Statistics), Labour Force Survey, Q2 2026). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
- Extreme heat days: 0.6 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
Weakest
- Rent growth: 21.9 % change in rents over the last 12 months (country figure) (raditi.eu citing Eurostat, Q1 2026 vs 2025 average). Above 15: grade 0/4.
- Nights in the three busiest months: 62.5 % of annual nights (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: UN Tourism by United Nations World Tourism Organization), 2024, 2025 moving average). Above 50: grade 0/4.
- Tourism crisis and recovery plan: No tourism crisis or recovery plan found (Zagreb Tourist Board (Turistička zajednica grada Zagreba), 2024). Grade 0/4.
Croatia in the World Economic Forum Travel & Tourism Development Index
Croatia is #46 of 110 countries (4.25 of 7) in the WEF Travel & Tourism Development Index 2026, which scores countries, not cities. Cities in countries with that WEF score average 60 on the TRAIL Index; Zagreb is 2 below that.
Every measure, by theme
Demand and seasonality: 45
- Nights in the three busiest months: 62.5 % of annual nights (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: UN Tourism by United Nations World Tourism Organization), 2024, 2025 moving average). Above 50: grade 0/4. Source
- Domestic share of nights: 20.2 % of nights by residents of the same country (Turistička zajednica grada Zagreba (TZGZ) / eVisitor, 2025). Between 15 and 25: grade 1/4. Source
- Largest foreign market: 8.1 % of international arrivals or nights (Turistička zajednica grada Zagreba (TZGZ) / eVisitor, 2025). At or below 15: grade 4/4. Source
- Recovery against 2019: 103.1 % of 2019 visitor nights reached in the latest full year (Croatian Bureau of Statistics (DZS), Statistical Information / TUR-2025-1-2, 2025). Between 100 and 110: grade 3/4. Source
- Average length of stay: 1.9 nights per visitor (Croatian Bureau of Statistics (DZS) / City of Zagreb (GUGEOSP), TUR-2025-1-2 Tourist Arrivals and Nights in Commercial Accommodation, 2025, 2025). Between 1.8 and 2.2: grade 1/4. Source
- Hotel bed or room occupancy: not measured yet
Economy and jobs: 67
- Jobs in tourism industries: 17.7 % of employment in accommodation and food services (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: Travel & Tourism Economic Impact Research by World Travel & Tourism Council; Travel & Tourism by World Travel & Tourism Council), 2026). Between 16 and 22: grade 1/4. Source
- Unemployment rate: 3.7 % of the labour force (Državni zavod za statistiku (Croatian Bureau of Statistics), Labour Force Survey, Q2 2026). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
- Income per head: 50,130 GDP per capita, USD PPP (Državni zavod za statistiku (Croatian Bureau of Statistics), First Release NR-2026-2-1, 2023). Between 45,000 and 60,000: grade 3/4. Source
- Economic diversity: not measured yet
Climate and hazards: 60
- Extreme heat days: 0.6 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
- Tropical nights: 15.6 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). Between 10 and 30: grade 3/4. Source
- Flood hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
- Wildfire and storm hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
- Country disaster risk: 2.5 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Between 2 and 3.5: grade 3/4. Source
- Greenhouse gas emissions per resident: not measured yet
Water and environment: 69
- Water scarcity: low (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 3/4. Source
- Wastewater safely treated: 83.8 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (country figure) (Državni zavod za statistiku (Croatian Bureau of Statistics) - Javna odvodnja u 2024. (OEN-2025-1-3), 2024). Between 70 and 85: grade 2/4. Source
- Municipal waste per resident: 455 kg per resident per year (Grad Zagreb, Plan gospodarenja otpadom Grada Zagreba za razdoblje do 2029. godine (citing MZOZT), 2022). Between 450 and 550: grade 2/4. Source
- Green space: 74 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (European Environment Agency (EEA) / Zagreb Tourist Board, 2022). At or above 40: grade 4/4. Source
- Energy use per resident: not measured yet
Community and housing: 50
- Tourism intensity: 3.6 visitor nights per resident per year (Turistička zajednica grada Zagreba (TZGZ) & Državni zavod za statistiku (DZS), 2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
- Cruise pressure: not measured yet
- Rent growth: 21.9 % change in rents over the last 12 months (country figure) (raditi.eu citing Eurostat, Q1 2026 vs 2025 average). Above 15: grade 0/4. Source
- Short-let density: 1.1 short-term rental listings per 100 dwellings (AirDNA & Croatian Bureau of Statistics (DZS) 2021 Census, 2026). Between 1 and 2: grade 2/4. Source
- Resident support for tourism: not measured yet
Access and continuity: 67
- Access redundancy: 3 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (City of Zagreb & HŽ Infrastruktura / Zagreb Airport, 2024). Between 3 and 4: grade 3/4. Source
- Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
- Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
- Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
- Largest airline group share: not measured yet
- Air route concentration: not measured yet
- Early warning and emergency plan: An updated city plan with public early warning for heat, flood or fire (City of Zagreb, Službeni glasnik Grada Zagreba, 2024). Grade 3/4. Source
- Tourism crisis and recovery plan: No tourism crisis or recovery plan found (Zagreb Tourist Board (Turistička zajednica grada Zagreba), 2024). Grade 0/4. Source
- Government effectiveness: 73.1 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Between 60 and 80: grade 3/4. Source
- Travel advisory: 1 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). At or below 1: grade 4/4. Source
- Dedicated tourism funding: A dedicated source partly ring-fenced for residents, infrastructure or sustainability (Narodne novine (Official Gazette of the Republic of Croatia), Zakon o turističkoj pristojbi, 2024). Grade 3/4. Source
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