Kraków

Kraków, Poland, scores 71 on the TRAIL Index of tourism resilience, #40 of 310 destinations. 27 of 29 measures come from public sources, with 86% confidence. Every grade below states its value, period and source.

Scores by each organisation's criteria

• TRAIL Index: 71
• OECD: 70
• UN Tourism: 68
• UNDRR: 67

Strongest

• Domestic share of nights: 80.8 % of nights by residents of the same country (Urząd Miasta Krakowa / Małopolska Organizacja Turystyczna, 2024). At or above 45: grade 4/4.
• Unemployment rate: 2.8 % of the labour force (Statistical Office in Kraków / Enter Poland, April 2026). At or below 5: grade 4/4.
• Economic diversity: 95 % of employment outside accommodation, food, retail and transport (Zero.pl / Małopolska Organizacja Turystyczna analysis, 2025). At or above 80: grade 4/4.

Weakest

• Hotel bed or room occupancy: 43.6 % average annual occupancy (region figure) (Urząd Statystyczny w Krakowie, Wykorzystanie turystycznych obiektów noclegowych w województwie małopolskim w 2024 r., 2024). Below 45: grade 0/4.
• Wildfire and storm hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4.
• Dedicated tourism funding: A promotion budget that depends each year on the general budget (Oficjalny serwis miejski Magiczny Kraków, Komunikaty Urzędu Miasta Krakowa, 2024–2026). Grade 1/4.

Poland in the World Economic Forum Travel & Tourism Development Index

Poland is #28 of 110 countries (4.46 of 7) in the WEF Travel & Tourism Development Index 2026, which scores countries, not cities. Cities in countries with that WEF score average 62 on the TRAIL Index; Kraków is 9 above that.

Every measure, by theme

Demand and seasonality: 60

• Nights in the three busiest months: 32.4 % of annual nights (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: UN Tourism by United Nations World Tourism Organization), 2024, 2025 moving average). Between 30 and 35: grade 3/4. Source
• Domestic share of nights: 80.8 % of nights by residents of the same country (Urząd Miasta Krakowa / Małopolska Organizacja Turystyczna, 2024). At or above 45: grade 4/4. Source
• Largest foreign market: 20 % of international arrivals or nights (Urząd Miasta Krakowa / Małopolska Organizacja Turystyczna via KRKnews, 2024). Between 15 and 20: grade 3/4. Source
• Recovery against 2019: not measured yet
• Average length of stay: 2.2 nights per visitor (Urząd Statystyczny w Krakowie, Biuletyn Statystyczny Krakowa (IV kwartał 2023), 2023). Between 2.2 and 2.8: grade 2/4. Source
• Hotel bed or room occupancy: 43.6 % average annual occupancy (region figure) (Urząd Statystyczny w Krakowie, Wykorzystanie turystycznych obiektów noclegowych w województwie małopolskim w 2024 r., 2024). Below 45: grade 0/4. Source

Economy and jobs: 94

• Jobs in tourism industries: 3.1 % of employment in accommodation and food services (country figure) (World Economic Forum, TTDI 2026 (data: Travel & Tourism Economic Impact Research by World Travel & Tourism Council; Travel & Tourism by World Travel & Tourism Council), 2026). At or below 8: grade 4/4. Source
• Unemployment rate: 2.8 % of the labour force (Statistical Office in Kraków / Enter Poland, April 2026). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Income per head: 54,262 GDP per capita, USD PPP (country figure) (World Bank WDI, 2025). Between 45,000 and 60,000: grade 3/4. Source
• Economic diversity: 95 % of employment outside accommodation, food, retail and transport (Zero.pl / Małopolska Organizacja Turystyczna analysis, 2025). At or above 80: grade 4/4. Source

Climate and hazards: 70

• Extreme heat days: 0.2 days a year at or above 35°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Tropical nights: 2.8 nights a year with a minimum at or above 20°C (last 5 full years) (ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo, 2021–2025). At or below 10: grade 4/4. Source
• Flood hazard: medium (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 2/4. Source
• Wildfire and storm hazard: high (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 1/4. Source
• Country disaster risk: 2.4 INFORM Risk index, 0–10 (country figure) (INFORM Risk (European Commission JRC), INFORM Risk Mid 2026, 2026). Between 2 and 3.5: grade 3/4. Source
• Greenhouse gas emissions per resident: not measured yet

Water and environment: 63

• Water scarcity: low (region figure) (World Bank GFDRR ThinkHazard, current (retrieved 2026)). Grade 3/4. Source
• Wastewater safely treated: 98.5 % of domestic wastewater safely treated (Urząd Miasta Krakowa, Kraków w liczbach 2024, 2024). At or above 95: grade 4/4. Source
• Municipal waste per resident: 531 kg per resident per year (Urząd Miasta Krakowa, Kraków w liczbach 2024, 2024). Between 450 and 550: grade 2/4. Source
• Green space: 12.2 % of the urban area that is green or tree-covered (Główny Urząd Statystyczny (GUS) / Geoportal Krajowy Kraków w liczbach, 2024). Between 10 and 20: grade 1/4. Source
• Energy use per resident: not measured yet

Community and housing: 83

• Tourism intensity: 4.5 visitor nights per resident per year (Statistics Poland (GUS) Local Data Bank (BDL) & Urząd Miasta Krakowa, 2024). At or below 5: grade 4/4. Source
• Cruise pressure: not measured yet
• Rent growth: -3.5 % change in rents over the last 12 months (Otodom Analytics / CEO Magazyn, 'Więcej mieszkań na wynajem w Krakowie i lekka korekta cen. Średnie stawki niższe o 3,5% r/r', February 2025 – February 2026). At or below 3: grade 4/4. Source
• Short-let density: 1.6 short-term rental listings per 100 dwellings (Centrum AMRON / Polish Bank Association data cited in municipal housing analyses, 2025/2026). Between 1 and 2: grade 2/4. Source
• Resident support for tourism: not measured yet

Access and continuity: 67

• Access redundancy: 3 independent ways in: international airport, intercity rail, port, motorway (Kraków Airport & PKP Intercity & GDDKiA, 2026). Between 3 and 4: grade 3/4. Source
• Air traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Rail share of intercity access: not measured yet
• Rail traffic recovery: not measured yet
• Largest airline group share: not measured yet
• Air route concentration: not measured yet
• Early warning and emergency plan: An updated city plan with public early warning for heat, flood or fire (Urząd Miasta Krakowa, Wydział Bezpieczeństwa i Zarządzania Kryzysowego, 2024–2026). Grade 3/4. Source
• Tourism crisis and recovery plan: A written destination crisis plan (Urząd Miasta Krakowa, Wydział ds. Turystyki, 2021–2028). Grade 2/4. Source
• Government effectiveness: 73.6 World Bank WGI percentile rank, 0–100 (country figure) (World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025). Between 60 and 80: grade 3/4. Source
• Travel advisory: 1 stricter of the US and Canadian government advisory for the country, 1 (normal precautions) to 4 (do not travel) (country figure) (US State Department and Government of Canada travel advisories, 2026-09-29). At or below 1: grade 4/4. Source
• Dedicated tourism funding: A promotion budget that depends each year on the general budget (Oficjalny serwis miejski Magiczny Kraków, Komunikaty Urzędu Miasta Krakowa, 2024–2026). Grade 1/4. Source

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